7/07/2010

stop loss

HI GUYS HERE I M SHARING ONE VERY NICE ARTICLE HOPE U ALL LIKE IT...“no sl reqd”… This line takes me back to the times of late 2007, an year that witnessed Indian market’s biggest fresh rally after harshad Mehta. I remember crazy euphoria all around… You name a price level for astock and vola!! It used to come. Ppl were trading in huge leveraged positions, and the theme used to be buy and sell in every 5%. thousands were made, no doubt. The uptrend was so stiff and sustained, that it taught people that no point booking loss on sl and just hold. “sl lagana hai rakh lei”? was the mantra.
Then the inevitable crash happened. We at activetrades had advised strictly at 6200 that tgt 6354 then 5900. Same thing happened, nifty went up to 6358 then cracked to 5900. Ppl said it’s rpower and don’t worry… This taken for granted attitude was something fii was hunting out for and hell broke loose. We advised 4400 tgt and nifty went there.. But still many clients incurred terribly huge losses. When ppl revisited what went wrong, they understood. It wasn’t adviser’s mistake, rather they didn’t keep the little word ‘sl’!
That was a turning point. Now having a lesson learnt, ppl don’t dare to trade without sl. Infact now they ask sl first and tgt later. But this compulsification of stoploss isn’t right thing either. First, there are different kind of trades; Second, this has given rise to a trend of breaking support and then a rally (wolfwave).
There are different kinds of trade. Some are buy on dips, some are accumulative, some are buy above or buy at a level. What is stoploss? It’s a level beyond which the assumption goes useless. It’s certainly not that loss ho gaya bhaago bhaago… It is applicable only in the case of buy above or buy below or otherwise. Stoploss means that the basis is no longer valid hence no point holding bcz of that reason. It nowhere means that the stock will fall bcz some other reason might be supportive. But one must be disciplined and shd execute stoploss. There are trades based on larger sudden undervalutions or overvaluations. If suzlon has fallen from 200 to 50, the sudden price correction is a valid reason to buy and even if it goes to 40, the reason of buying remains intact. So basically stoploss is the conditional argument of a trading idea and is not necessarily indicator of total risk. Big money is made only when you buy on major dips… Then there are self hedged and hedged trades too.
This over precaution by Indian traders has made fii use it as an opportunity. In 2007 mkts used to respect support levels much more than what they do today. Now supports break, people exit and stocks rally. This is called a wolf wave, and this disturbs the overall pattern a lot.
Timing the stoploss: nowadays there are spikes. Hence now atleast 1 min movement must be locally seen to ensure that it wasn’t a spike. Reliance on bse went to 840 for minutes and pulled back. How to handle that?
So in my view, stoploss should be maintained in the trades it is critically required. One must also be open to ideas which do not carry a stoploss. But not putting a stoploss does not mean to expose yourself to huge risk… You can manage the risk by many ways.SOURCE:EMAIL

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